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Is Apple looking to sell FCP?
So there is at least one pundit that seems to think that Apple is shopping FCP around:
http://www.pbs.org/cringely/pulpit/2...02_004815.html Mind you, Bob Cringely has a serious weed on that Apple needs to buy Adobe and that Adobe is up for sale. He's been harping this for quite some time now however the complete lack of anything really new out of Apple for it's FCP suite can give one pause for question as to just what is up over at Infinite Loop. |
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Regardless, many of us have been shooting HD for a few years now with no medium other than the net to share. (Which is of course, what Apple wants - rely on iTunes and AppleTV for getting our content.) But for weddings and smaller productions, there's not even the HD option for us yet. Are we to wait for Adobe on this one? Positive hints: I believe Apple was up to something at NAB too, and, we're all expecting the big Shake successor, soo... something big has to be around the bend, right? |
Let's see...FCP and Mac revolutionized desktop editing, FCP is the most popular editing program for schools, amateurs and pros alike. Most film schools, journalism and communication programs teach FCP and oh yeah, networks like CBS are dropping AVID for FCP. Why then would Apple dump FCP. Sounds like the guys at AVID are worried to me.
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I think a bigger reason why Apple didn't exhibit a new FCS is because they have the HUGE task of rewriting the application. I'll explain and try to keep it as simple as possible. There are two main Application Programming Interface flavors for Mac app development. Carbon- Provides the best legacy support. When Apple went to OS X they developed Carbon as a somewhat less painful way of moving current apps to OS X. Cocoa- The new hotness and area in which Apple is devoting most of its resources into. Most new app development is Cocoa because it's more efficient in key ways. Here's the catch. Carbon will never be fully 64-bit. Apple promised Carbon-64 and then killed it (probably wisely so). Any major app is going to go 64-bit for the memory handling alone. So right now the ONLY way to develop 64-bit apps through and though is to use Cocoa. So guess what Apple is doing right now with their Pro Apps of which most are Carbon based. Rewriting in Cocoa...it's the only way they and others will be able to deliver 64-bit Mac apps. We may not see a FCS 3 this year. It all depends on the effort involved to rewrite the apps. I think the move to Cocoa will be good for us. But this is yet another painful transition for large software developers with legacy apps. Adobe has already stated that CS Suite 4 will be 32-bit and CS Suite 5 will 64-Bit so they also have the monumental task of rewriting large portions of their apps. Back to the original question. No Apple is not selling their Pro Apps. And they don't want Adobe. What do you think would be the quickest path. Spending 30 billion dollars on Adobe or simply developing your own suite of programs with a judicious amount of acquisitions. I'm thinking the latter solution is most feasible. HM |
I think Harrison is correct. This is the 'rumor' that I have heard as well with Cocoa. With the significant increase in user base Apple will not be selling off FCS anytime soon. They are also not interested in buying Adobe. They are interested in crushing Adobe in the Mac OSX turf.
Apple kept their presence at NAB but they just did it without paying for their own booth, no big flash but like Avid they were seen all over the place in the South Hall. |
If you ask me, I'd say Adobe is gaining ground on FCP just as Apple did on Avid a few years back. In the last year I've seen more and more people mentioning Adobe as a serious NLE and studio suite where in years past very few people took them too seriously for anything other than AE.
Could it be that their BluRay support has anything to do with this? Could that alone have turned attention their way and people then discovered that their Production Premium suite has quietly become a serious set of tools? Before you dismiss that idea outright, don't forget what turned the tide in FCP's favor a few years ago, namely DVCProHD and HDV support when nobody else was doing HD for less than $40,000 (just a made up number to illustrate a point). That made many people who otherwise would not have even considered FCP take a peek at it and many of those people liked what they saw enough to take the plunge. All that to say watch Adobe in the next year, I think they're picking up steam. The whole "apple is shopping around FCP" rumor has been circulating for several months now, no clue if it's true or not. Seems they have become more focused on consumer electronics these days so I wouldn't scoff at the notion that they'd at least test the waters and see what their ProApps are worth to someone else. What's the old mantra in business? Buy low, sell high. I'd say FCP's stock is pretty high right now. Just saying. I do wish that Apple would hurry the @#$& up with some BluRay support. |
I'd say Adobe is gaining ground based on their update to Premiere Pro and the leveraging of their other tools in the Production Premium as you state. The Blu-ray authoring is nice but rudimentary. Plus as much as I'd like to say Blu-ray is making an impact it appears too expensive for many consumers
http://www.electronista.com/articles...ictory.hollow/ Quote:
I wouldn't be surprised to see Apple shopping FCS around just to gauge what it's worth. However Apple Pro Apps are to Mac Pro what iTunes is to iPods. Apple cannot divest their Pro Apps and not lose high margin Mac Pro sales. I'm certainly looking forward to the next FCS suite. They did a lot of replumbing in the app and I think the next update will be more ambitious regarding new features. The FCS versus Adobe battle will be interesting. |
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I've been a mac user since the Mac Plus, went went to PC for a while in 2003-2005, but returned to the Mac out of frustration with the introduction of the Mac Pro - best choice I've made in the past half decade video production-wise! If Apple sold FCS, It'd be hard to put near as much faith into the suite and the pro Macs themselves. |
IT'S OFFICIAL - THEY'RE NOT FOR SALE: In reference to Apple looking to sell off Pro apps:
"I can categorically state, on the record, that is not the case," said Richard Townhill, Apple's director of marketing. http://tvbeurope.com/index.php?optio...=1269&Itemid=1 |
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Never, ever, ever take a marketing person at face value, they get paid to skirt around the truth. That's my bit of advice for the day. Not saying there isnt any validity in what he's saying, just that I don't trust the word of marketing guys. |
Maybe it's the other way around. AVID might be shopping their software to Apple. Or Apple could be contemplating buying AVID. Now that would make more sense. Final Cut Pro and AVID under the same roof would clobber the competition and give them a near monopoly on the entire market in both the hardware and software side. I bet it's tempting when you're sitting on US$1 billion in cash, or whatever the amount is nowadays.
Shoot, while I'm dreaming up empires, Apple could then create/buy/develop a separate camcorder division and sell camcorder with an iPhone interface. With Pixar, they'd be on their way to becoming big brother and controlling the world! Yes, I can see it all now. Yes, muhahahahaahahahahahaha. |
Maybe Apple, Avid and Adobe are all looking to sell... or perhaps swap... or perhaps (insert random baseless conjecture here)...
;-p |
Word(Rumor) on the NAB floor was that Apple was considering buying Avid Which might make sense if you read the Tomshardware article about Apple saving up cash. Part of me was happy because I hate Avid part of me was worried because I hate Avid and was worried that they would mix FCP and media composer into some unholy hybrid of software hell. Personally I dont like FCP but its a hell of alot better than Avid so if our shop will let me dump our Avids for FCP I say FCP all the way!
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BTW Apple and FCP didnt revolution the desktop editing, The company that wrote FCP originally was the same company that wrote Adobe Premiere (4.X). then Apple bought it same with Livetype was orignally India Titler and DVDSP was Spruce's Maestro.
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2) It's time for a new crazy rumor, this one is getting stale. My suggestion: RED is going to use Apple stores to retail the Scarlet... http://provideocoalition.com/index.p..._game_in_2009/ |
Fine, how about this, Apple is looking to install FCP in all Red cameras, so all you have to do is plug in a keyboard, mouse, and monitor and you can edit your video on the bus back from Kilamanjaro!
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Keygrip which became Final Cut Pro was the product of Premiere creator Randy Ubillos. For some reason Adobe wasn't interested so Macromedia actually had control of the app until Apple purchased it. The original DVD Studio Pro was from the Astarte purchase but Apple seemingly saw it wouldn't be enough and purchased Spruce. Fast growth in this industry usually come from acquisitions. |
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